Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 673 Delta Flight history →	MSP 08:50	FLL 13:25	6%	2%	0.7%	93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 00:01 → ATL 03:41DL 1032	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 07:00 → FLL 08:51DL 1334	7h 50m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:14 → CVG 10:03DL 954	2h 10m Hebron	CVG 12:13 → FLL 14:47DL 2776	6h 33m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 00m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	3h 43m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	8h 30m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 27m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:04 → RDU 10:40DL 2519	1h 19m Raleigh/Durham	RDU 11:59 → FLL 14:05DL 1038	6h 01m	98%	88%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 15m Chicago	ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279	8h 13m	100%	88%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → FLL 15:54UA 1214	9h 09m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON