Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2437 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:19	GEG 13:21	8%	2%	0.6%	89%
DL 2418 Delta Flight history →	MSP 21:59	GEG 23:06	11%	2%	0.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:01 → GEG 11:39DL 814	8h 19m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	1h 31m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 02m	99%	88%
Alaska Details →	MSP 06:03 → SEA 07:58AS 387	1h 57m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	6h 57m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110	4h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 29m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 15:15 → SEA 17:00DL 877	2h 57m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 58m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	7h 42m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:10 → SEA 13:00DL 889	2h 40m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	7h 45m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:59 → LAX 20:51DL 2122	1h 55m Los Angeles	LAX 22:46 → GEG 01:37 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	8h 38m	98%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON