tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 3791 at 18:10, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3791 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → MSP 18:10 OKC 20:15 10% 4% 0.5% 78%
DL 5142 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MSP 09:05 OKC 11:16 25% 9% 0.0% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 3h 12m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 7h 16m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 6h 52m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460 1h 40m Houston IAH 12:10 → OKC 13:50UA 6180 · flown by Mesa 6h 15m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 6h 34m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 3h 02m Denver DEN 13:23 → OKC 16:06UA 1656 7h 01m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 7h 56m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → MSP 05:59 → DFW 08:42AA 1395 1h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:28 → OKC 11:42AA 3099 5h 43m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305 2h 43m Denver DEN 17:31 → OKC 20:11UA 1184 6h 35m 100% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON