Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 762 at 18:25, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 762 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:25	PSC 19:45	16%	5%	0.5%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	2h 25m Salt Lake City	SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	6h 59m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	7h 41m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:55 → SEA 20:48DL 881	1h 57m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 58m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	2h 41m Seattle	SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	7h 49m	98%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON