tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 12:45, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2574 Delta Flight history → MSP 12:45 SAV 16:23 10% 2% 0.8% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:43 → SAV 13:52DL 3014 7h 32m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 38m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:52 → SAV 14:09UA 1612 7h 09m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 7h 27m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → BOS 10:45DL 2649 1h 12m Boston BOS 11:57 → SAV 14:53DL 5647 · flown by Republic 6h 53m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 7h 32m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 3h 05m Denver DEN 09:58 → SAV 15:32UA 361 8h 47m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → MSP 11:32 → ORD 13:15UA 576 3h 42m Chicago ORD 16:57 → SAV 20:15UA 1191 7h 43m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON