Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2546 at 20:25, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2546 Delta	MSP 20:25	SYR 23:44	16%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	2h 47m Detroit	DTW 11:34 → SYR 13:01DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	5h 57m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433	2h 43m Detroit	DTW 14:25 → SYR 15:52DL 5465 · flown by Endeavor	5h 52m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	8h 28m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 33m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 16:15 → DTW 18:59DL 1476	2h 36m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689	5h 43m	99%	86%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	3h 42m Charlotte	CLT 13:42 → SYR 15:41AA 1950	8h 22m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:05 → LGA 13:45DL 2764	1h 59m New York	LGA 15:44 → SYR 17:01DL 5388 · flown by Endeavor	5h 56m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 15:30 → LGA 19:18DL 2732	2h 19m New York	LGA 21:37 → SYR 22:54DL 5524 · flown by Endeavor	6h 24m	96%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON