tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5527 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MSP 19:45 TYS 23:01 28% 13% 1.1% 72%
DL 5335 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MSP 13:28 TYS 16:45 29% 15% 0.8% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Knoxville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 1h 16m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → TYS 11:10DL 1743 4h 50m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 13:52 → TYS 14:48DL 1148 5h 22m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → MSP 05:59 → DFW 08:42AA 1395 1h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:35 → TYS 13:48AA 2544 6h 49m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 16:16 → TYS 17:16DL 2571 5h 44m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036 1h 44m Atlanta ATL 22:49 → TYS 23:50DL 3072 5h 32m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894 1h 11m Charlotte CLT 11:11 → TYS 12:34AA 5953 · flown by Piedmont 5h 15m 96% 86%
UnitedDetails → MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305 2h 37m Denver DEN 17:25 → TYS 22:19UA 2473 7h 43m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → TYS 13:16DL 4724 · flown by Endeavor 5h 19m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON