Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2462 at 10:35, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2462 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:35	VPS 13:13	7%	2%	0.8%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 13:50 → VPS 14:00DL 2832	7h 00m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 15:45 → VPS 16:03DL 2170	7h 37m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → VPS 10:29DL 2048	5h 09m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803	5h 57m	98%	87%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 30m Charlotte	CLT 11:30 → VPS 12:16AA 5165 · flown by PSA	5h 57m	96%	80%
American Details →	MSP 06:08 → DFW 08:53AA 1395	3h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:46 → VPS 14:43AA 2501	8h 35m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	47m Atlanta	ATL 23:15 → VPS 23:29DL 3097	4h 52m	83%	75%
American Details →	MSP 10:14 → DFW 12:43AA 2220	3h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:37 → VPS 18:38AA 2673	8h 24m	99%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON