tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:20, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching San Antonio on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSY 06:20 → ATL 08:57DL 1534 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 18m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → MSY 09:53 → IAH 11:12UA 2105 3h 35m Houston IAH 14:47 → SAT 16:07UA 2030 6h 14m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSY 09:13 → ATL 11:43DL 3128 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 5h 57m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSY 10:34 → ATL 13:05DL 1424 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 15:58 → SAT 17:29DL 1465 6h 55m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542 1h 55m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → SAT 18:36DL 2893 5h 54m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → MSY 07:00 → IAH 08:19UA 2124 1h 20m Houston IAH 09:39 → SAT 10:46UA 6201 · flown by Mesa 3h 46m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → MSY 16:59 → ATL 19:32DL 3146 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → SAT 00:20 +1DL 1508 7h 21m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → MSY 11:30 → ORD 14:13AA 4040 · flown by Envoy 50m Chicago ORD 15:03 → SAT 18:03AA 4176 · flown by Envoy 6h 33m 90% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON