Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Boston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862	7h 47m	99%	91%
American Details →	MYR 08:08 → CLT 09:14AA 3296	3h 09m Charlotte	CLT 12:23 → BOS 14:59AA 3314	6h 51m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518	7h 48m	100%	86%
American Details →	MYR 19:00 → DCA 20:35AA 5266 · flown by PSA	1h 05m Washington	DCA 21:40 → BOS 23:09AA 4668 · flown by Republic	4h 09m	89%	80%
American Details →	MYR 10:39 → PHL 12:26AA 6107 · flown by Piedmont	3h 52m Philadelphia	PHL 16:18 → BOS 17:44AA 3073	7h 05m	97%	75%
American Details →	MYR 10:28 → CLT 11:35AA 2431	2h 51m Charlotte	CLT 14:26 → BOS 16:40AA 901	6h 12m	91%	73%
American Details →	MYR 17:36 → CLT 18:44AA 2943	1h 27m Charlotte	CLT 20:11 → BOS 22:46AA 1843	5h 10m	89%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON