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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Cleveland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 5h 32m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 6h 59m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 18:49 → CLE 20:41DL 2150 6h 50m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:08 → CLT 09:14AA 3296 1h 41m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → CLE 12:35AA 848 4h 27m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → CLE 00:49 +1DL 1320 4h 47m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → MYR 09:15 → CLT 10:33AA 5878 · flown by Piedmont 3h 49m Charlotte CLT 14:22 → CLE 15:55AA 1244 6h 40m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → MYR 19:20 → CLT 20:16AA 1417 2h 34m Charlotte CLT 22:50 → CLE 00:29 +1AA 2260 5h 09m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → MYR 19:00 → DCA 20:35AA 5266 · flown by PSA 1h 58m Washington DCA 22:33 → CLE 00:08 +1AA 5613 · flown by PSA 5h 08m 96% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON