tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Hebron on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 25m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:08 → CLT 09:14AA 3296 2h 20m Charlotte CLT 11:34 → CVG 12:54AA 1533 4h 46m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 4h 59m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 50m Detroit DTW 14:21 → CVG 15:39DL 5446 · flown by Endeavor 4h 05m 93% 85%
DeltaDetails → MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 4h 37m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 5h 34m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:14AA 5315 · flown by PSA 2h 37m Charlotte CLT 16:51 → CVG 18:16AA 5293 · flown by PSA 5h 15m 96% 79%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:36 → CLT 18:44AA 2943 3h 46m Charlotte CLT 22:30 → CVG 23:58AA 626 6h 22m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON