Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 17:02, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OH 5653 PSA	MYR 17:02	DFW 18:49	12%	4%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	99%	91%
American Details →	MYR 09:15 → CLT 10:33AA 5878 · flown by Piedmont	2h 48m Charlotte	CLT 13:21 → DFW 15:14AA 1690	6h 59m	100%	90%
American Details →	MYR 08:08 → CLT 09:14AA 3296	1h 57m Charlotte	CLT 11:11 → DFW 12:49AA 2747	5h 41m	98%	88%
American Details →	MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	3h 14m Philadelphia	PHL 16:22 → DFW 19:09AA 2356	8h 50m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	1h 26m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → DFW 15:45DL 921	5h 03m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	5h 11m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 21m Detroit	DTW 15:52 → DFW 17:27DL 1441	6h 53m	99%	84%
American Details →	MYR 17:36 → CLT 18:44AA 2943	3h 24m Charlotte	CLT 22:08 → DFW 23:49AA 1256	7h 13m	95%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON