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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1590 Southwest OKC 10:35 AUS 12:01 6% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 1751 Southwest OKC 11:51 AUS 13:10 8% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Denver DEN 08:00 → AUS 11:15UA 456 5h 10m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 6h 36m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 1h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:26 → AUS 08:33AA 1643 3h 32m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → OKC 04:59 → DFW 06:03AA 3896 · flown by Envoy 2h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:17 → AUS 09:25AA 794 4h 26m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 15:50 → AUS 17:19DL 1491 6h 10m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:32AA 2272 2h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:57 → AUS 12:14AA 1070 4h 49m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → AUS 20:22DL 1170 7h 04m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → OKC 13:43 → IAH 15:25UA 5531 · flown by SkyWest 3h 25m Houston IAH 18:50 → AUS 19:57UA 2674 6h 14m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON