Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 2273 American Flight history →	OKC 06:40	CLT 10:20	5%	3%	0.6%	90%
AA 1626 American Flight history →	OKC 13:34	CLT 17:12	8%	3%	0.6%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 42m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	5h 51m	98%	90%
American Details →	OKC 06:02 → LGA 10:30AA 4535 · flown by Republic	1h 40m New York	LGA 12:10 → CLT 14:14AA 1150	7h 12m	98%	90%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	3h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:55 → CLT 13:41AA 2493	7h 40m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	7h 12m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 18:54 → CLT 20:05DL 2132	5h 47m	99%	87%
American Details →	OKC 07:15 → ORD 09:31AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 11:46 → CLT 14:43AA 3021	6h 28m	99%	87%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	2h 51m Denver	DEN 09:49 → CLT 15:02UA 2231	7h 57m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON