tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2990 Southwest OKC 10:47 DCA 14:47 6% 3% 0.4% no record
AA 2475 American OKC 17:06 DCA 21:01 16% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Washington on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:40 → DCA 12:42AA 1177 6h 41m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m Denver DEN 09:30 → DCA 14:59UA 789 7h 54m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → OKC 14:33 → IAH 16:09UA 6264 · flown by Mesa 3h 41m Houston IAH 19:50 → DCA 23:59UA 2224 8h 26m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:02 → LGA 10:30AA 4535 · flown by Republic 3h 19m New York LGA 13:49 → DCA 15:16AA 4773 · flown by Republic 8h 14m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 11:02 → DCA 12:51DL 1798 6h 02m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:36 → DFW 08:52AA 2272 3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:54 → DCA 15:59AA 1414 7h 23m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:39 → IAH 11:15UA 6255 · flown by Mesa 3h 05m Houston IAH 14:20 → DCA 18:31UA 625 7h 52m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → OKC 11:49 → IAH 13:24UA 5663 · flown by SkyWest 3h 26m Houston IAH 16:50 → DCA 21:05UA 235 8h 16m 100% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON