tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Denver DEN 08:10 → MCO 13:57UA 2292 6h 52m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 12:07 → MCO 13:34DL 1562 6h 45m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:05 → MCO 10:49AA 2119 4h 48m 95% 83%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:40 → CLT 10:20AA 2273 1h 48m Charlotte CLT 12:08 → MCO 13:50AA 2877 6h 10m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → OKC 04:59 → DFW 06:03AA 3896 · flown by Envoy 2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:13 → MCO 11:55AA 2136 5h 56m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:59 → ORD 09:08AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 1h 51m Chicago ORD 10:59 → MCO 14:42AA 1661 6h 43m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225 8h 19m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:32AA 2272 2h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:55 → MCO 14:36AA 1606 6h 11m 97% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON