tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:58 am at Oklahoma City)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 17:07, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Miami on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589 6h 48m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → OKC 13:43 → IAH 15:25UA 5531 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Houston IAH 18:43 → MIA 22:39UA 1829 7h 56m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → OKC 11:30 → DEN 12:28UA 5490 · flown by SkyWest 3h 30m Denver DEN 15:58 → MIA 21:53UA 445 9h 23m 99% 77%
AmericanDetails → OKC 13:27 → ORD 15:40AA 6395 · flown by SkyWest 3h 49m Chicago ORD 19:29 → MIA 23:38AA 1159 9h 11m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → MIA 21:15DL 1588 6h 57m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 16:55 → MIA 18:51DL 719 6h 42m 99% 72%
AmericanDetails → OKC 15:10 → DFW 16:17AA 2929 3h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:22 → MIA 23:17AA 2206 7h 07m 99% 72%
AmericanDetails → OKC 09:01 → DFW 10:09AA 6203 · flown by SkyWest 2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:28 → MIA 16:26AA 2461 6h 25m 95% 69%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON