Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 4029 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 08:26	SLC 10:07	3%	3%	0.5%	93%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 18:00	SLC 19:38	6%	3%	0.5%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest	2h 31m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	7h 34m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	9h 01m	98%	89%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	1h 02m Denver	DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497	4h 32m	96%	88%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	2h 51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:58 → SLC 10:59AA 1878	6h 58m	99%	88%
United Details →	OKC 08:52 → DEN 09:37UA 2609	2h 03m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	5h 21m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	7h 44m	96%	85%
United Details →	OKC 18:43 → DEN 19:44UA 4768 · flown by SkyWest	1h 21m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	5h 01m	94%	84%
American Details →	OKC 06:59 → ORD 09:08AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest	2h 43m Chicago	ORD 11:51 → SLC 14:42AA 3258	8h 43m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON