Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2966 at 10:42, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2966 Southwest	OMA 10:42	BNA 12:31	5%	1%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 05m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest	3h 20m Minneapolis	MSP 12:50 → BNA 14:52DL 2843	6h 47m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557	6h 38m	99%	91%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	2h 54m Denver	DEN 09:43 → BNA 13:22UA 355	7h 22m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:52 → MSP 12:15DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Minneapolis	MSP 15:29 → BNA 17:35DL 2612	6h 43m	99%	90%
American Details →	OMA 06:20 → CLT 09:58AA 1042	3h 26m Charlotte	CLT 13:24 → BNA 14:03AA 2409	7h 43m	99%	89%
American Details →	OMA 07:00 → ORD 08:51AA 3197	2h 22m Chicago	ORD 11:13 → BNA 12:56AA 2362	5h 56m	99%	89%
American Details →	OMA 05:20 → DFW 07:20AA 2540	2h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:08 → BNA 12:16AA 1396	6h 56m	99%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON