tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2399 United Flight history → OMA 06:15 IAH 08:37 5% 2% 0.2% 92%
UA 1148 United OMA 15:08 IAH 17:44 9% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:49 → MSP 08:11DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 2h 13m Minneapolis MSP 10:24 → IAH 13:14DL 2673 6h 25m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 53m Denver DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 5h 15m 94% 88%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → IAH 13:29DL 2709 8h 04m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 14:02 → DTW 17:06DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Detroit DTW 20:04 → IAH 22:03DL 1633 8h 01m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 35m Denver DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829 7h 58m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → OMA 11:23 → ORD 13:15UA 600 2h 50m Chicago ORD 16:05 → IAH 19:10UA 714 7h 47m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → OMA 15:13 → ORD 17:05UA 739 2h 57m Chicago ORD 20:02 → IAH 22:59UA 2813 7h 46m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632 1h 09m Atlanta ATL 14:47 → IAH 16:00DL 1874 5h 37m 97% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → OMA 16:21 → DFW 18:18AA 2269 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:11 → IAH 20:25AA 1392 4h 04m 64% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON