tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3062 Southwest OMA 06:02 LAS 07:07 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3063 Southwest OMA 14:44 LAS 15:41 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Minneapolis MSP 09:13 → LAS 10:31DL 2262 6h 31m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 36m Denver DEN 13:31 → LAS 14:44UA 493 7h 38m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 2h 38m Denver DEN 09:27 → LAS 10:30UA 1767 6h 30m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest 1h 40m Minneapolis MSP 11:10 → LAS 12:26DL 2238 6h 21m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → OMA 14:02 → DTW 17:06DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 2h 51m Detroit DTW 19:57 → LAS 21:13DL 916 9h 11m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 18m Houston IAH 11:55 → LAS 13:13UA 1524 8h 58m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:28 → DTW 13:30DL 4055 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Detroit DTW 16:35 → LAS 17:51DL 766 9h 23m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Detroit DTW 12:15 → LAS 13:28DL 421 9h 03m 98% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON