tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 6227 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 06:00 LAX 07:41 3% 2% 0.5% 92%
AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 12:54 LAX 14:26 6% 3% 0.5% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 3h 42m Minneapolis MSP 11:03 → LAX 12:53DL 733 8h 53m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895 10h 47m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 3h 13m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 7h 34m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest 1h 38m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 17m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 3h 22m Detroit DTW 12:50 → LAX 14:35DL 634 10h 10m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest 2h 00m Minneapolis MSP 11:30 → LAX 13:23DL 2119 7h 18m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 31m Denver DEN 13:26 → LAX 14:57UA 774 7h 51m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → OMA 13:48 → DEN 14:35UA 1195 3h 10m Denver DEN 17:45 → LAX 19:23UA 1753 7h 35m 100% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON