Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1369 at 07:27, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1369 Southwest	ONT 07:27	BNA 13:10	5%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ONT 11:48 → ATL 19:15DL 665	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	9h 27m	100%	89%
United Details →	ONT 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 2446	1h 23m Denver	DEN 09:43 → BNA 13:22UA 355	6h 22m	98%	89%
American Details →	ONT 12:28 → DFW 17:25AA 2956	2h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:24 → BNA 22:23AA 3230	7h 55m	99%	83%
American Details →	ONT 06:11 → PHX 07:30AA 1194	1h 48m Phoenix	PHX 09:18 → BNA 14:48AA 1370	6h 37m	96%	82%
United Details →	ONT 06:58 → ORD 13:03UA 2226	2h 35m Chicago	ORD 15:38 → BNA 17:13UA 1897	8h 15m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	ONT 11:59 → SEA 14:51DL 4070 · flown by SkyWest	2h 39m Seattle	SEA 17:30 → BNA 23:54DL 815	9h 55m	97%	82%
American Details →	ONT 09:46 → DFW 14:33AA 1412	3h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:18 → BNA 20:17AA 1076	8h 31m	98%	81%
American Details →	ONT 08:15 → DFW 13:25AA 2893	1h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:05 → BNA 17:15AA 1181	7h 00m	97%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON