Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 1799 at 07:18, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1799 JetBlue Flight history →	ORF 07:18	FLL 09:41	10%	6%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ORF 06:20 → ATL 08:10DL 1364	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 00m	99%	89%
American Details →	ORF 06:03 → CLT 07:28AA 2717	3h 18m Charlotte	CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585	7h 07m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	ORF 05:15 → ATL 06:54DL 2966	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094	4h 44m	95%	89%
Delta Details →	ORF 08:00 → ATL 09:49DL 1338	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 27m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1079	2h 07m Detroit	DTW 10:02 → FLL 13:06DL 1378	7h 01m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	ORF 10:16 → ATL 12:05DL 1336	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	5h 25m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:58 → JFK 08:17DL 5356 · flown by Endeavor	2h 57m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 26m	98%	84%
American Details →	ORF 05:29 → CLT 06:56AA 3130	1h 29m Charlotte	CLT 08:25 → FLL 10:32AA 1419	5h 03m	92%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ORF 14:17 → LGA 15:43DL 5329 · flown by Endeavor	47m New York	LGA 16:30 → FLL 19:56DL 2321	5h 39m	70%	52%
American Details →	ORF 17:49 → CLT 19:14AA 2519	52m Charlotte	CLT 20:06 → FLL 22:14AA 2945	4h 25m	70%	49%
American Details →	ORF 06:03 → CLT 07:28AA 2717	50m Charlotte	CLT 08:18 → FLL 10:22AA 2587	4h 19m	46%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON