tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 05:00, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Austin on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 1370 Alaska Flight history → PDX 17:39 AUS 23:49 13% 3% 0.6% 86%
AS 540 Alaska Flight history → PDX 10:30 AUS 16:38 16% 3% 0.6% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Portland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 00:33 → MSP 05:49DL 2359 1h 11m Minneapolis MSP 07:00 → AUS 09:55DL 3950 · flown by SkyWest 7h 22m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → PDX 06:00 → MSP 11:14DL 2369 3h 22m Minneapolis MSP 14:36 → AUS 17:26DL 2687 9h 26m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 1h 02m Denver DEN 09:33 → AUS 12:54UA 8126 5h 54m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → PDX 00:08 → IAH 06:09UA 780 1h 22m Houston IAH 07:31 → AUS 08:34UA 2376 6h 26m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → PDX 06:35 → ATL 14:14DL 662 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 15:50 → AUS 17:19DL 1491 8h 44m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → PDX 12:55 → SFO 14:46UA 751 3h 32m San Francisco SFO 18:18 → AUS 23:58UA 2332 9h 03m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → PDX 08:18 → IAD 16:39UA 2016 1h 21m Dulles IAD 18:00 → AUS 20:35UA 2337 10h 17m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → PDX 13:02 → IAH 19:21UA 1927 2h 54m Houston IAH 22:15 → AUS 23:12UA 1179 8h 10m 97% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON