tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 00:33, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Charlotte on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 2873 American PDX 22:54 CLT 06:50 15% 5% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Portland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 11:37 → ATL 19:21DL 539 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 9h 21m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PDX 00:33 → MSP 05:49DL 2359 1h 18m Minneapolis MSP 07:07 → CLT 10:33DL 1912 7h 00m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → PDX 06:00 → MSP 11:14DL 2369 3h 16m Minneapolis MSP 14:30 → CLT 18:02DL 2820 9h 02m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 1h 28m Denver DEN 09:59 → CLT 15:30UA 2231 7h 30m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 2h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 10:55 → CLT 16:52DL 2070 8h 07m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PDX 06:35 → ATL 14:14DL 662 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158 9h 46m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PDX 13:45 → MSP 19:03DL 2167 1h 11m Minneapolis MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929 6h 59m 95% 86%
AmericanDetails → PDX 05:50 → ORD 11:48AA 3329 1h 30m Chicago ORD 13:18 → CLT 16:14AA 1409 7h 24m 100% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PDX 06:35 → ATL 14:14DL 662 46m Atlanta ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031 6h 42m 68% 59%
AmericanDetails → PDX 12:04 → DFW 17:57AA 2655 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:48 → CLT 22:20AA 3002 7h 16m 71% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON