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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
QX 2108 Horizon PDX 14:35 PSC 15:41 9% 4% 1.2% no record
OO 3485 SkyWest PDX 21:56 PSC 22:50 10% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 3h 51m Salt Lake City SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 7h 24m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:45 → SLC 12:33DL 1203 3h 19m Salt Lake City SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest 6h 53m 100% 93%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 14:39 → LAX 17:06AS 713 2h 39m Los Angeles LAX 19:45 → PSC 22:17AS 3303 · flown by SkyWest 7h 38m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PDX 17:14 → SLC 20:06DL 1244 3h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712 6h 40m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → PDX 17:50 → SEA 18:59DL 3918 · flown by SkyWest 3h 46m Seattle SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest 6h 03m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:32 → SEA 10:55DL 3953 · flown by SkyWest 2h 45m Seattle SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest 5h 22m 98% 70%
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:30 → SEA 06:35DL 4008 · flown by SkyWest 4h 00m Seattle SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 95% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON