tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
QX 2423 Horizon PDX 07:00 TUS 09:58 18% 6% 1.3% no record
QX 2336 Horizon PDX 07:00 TUS 09:46 18% 6% 1.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tucson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:45 → SLC 12:33DL 1203 2h 27m Salt Lake City SLC 15:00 → TUS 16:06DL 3717 · flown by SkyWest 6h 21m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 2h 59m Denver DEN 11:30 → TUS 12:32UA 1188 7h 32m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → PDX 08:50 → DEN 12:24UA 2375 3h 11m Denver DEN 15:35 → TUS 16:48UA 2049 7h 58m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → PDX 13:25 → LAX 15:47DL 2766 3h 34m Los Angeles LAX 19:21 → TUS 20:59DL 3846 · flown by SkyWest 7h 34m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 52m Salt Lake City SLC 09:25 → TUS 10:24DL 3718 · flown by SkyWest 4h 39m 89% 84%
AmericanDetails → PDX 05:20 → PHX 08:00AA 2658 1h 21m Phoenix PHX 09:21 → TUS 10:26AA 6367 · flown by SkyWest 5h 06m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → PDX 06:28 → DFW 12:19AA 371 1h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:00 → TUS 14:36AA 2537 8h 08m 98% 77%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:15 → SFO 07:01UA 1896 3h 16m San Francisco SFO 10:17 → TUS 12:23UA 5433 · flown by SkyWest 7h 08m 99% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → PDX 08:08 → SEA 09:23AS 2190 · flown by Horizon 56m Seattle SEA 10:19 → TUS 13:31AS 648 5h 23m 41% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON