tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3022 Southwest PIT 08:40 AUS 10:47 5% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 4819 Southwest PIT 17:25 AUS 19:48 11% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic 2h 17m Chicago ORD 11:47 → AUS 14:41UA 1061 7h 05m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 7h 40m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → PIT 05:58 → CLT 07:37AA 376 1h 22m Charlotte CLT 08:59 → AUS 11:06AA 818 6h 08m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → AUS 13:54DL 2104 7h 49m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:01 → ORD 07:48UA 1803 1h 13m Chicago ORD 09:01 → AUS 11:59UA 1688 5h 58m 94% 88%
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:00 → DTW 07:13DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor 1h 51m Detroit DTW 09:04 → AUS 10:59DL 1218 5h 59m 96% 88%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 3h 47m Houston IAH 12:05 → AUS 13:12UA 1859 7h 57m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → PIT 16:59 → IAH 19:05UA 1563 3h 10m Houston IAH 22:15 → AUS 23:12UA 1179 7h 13m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON