tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:10 am at Pittsburgh)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, WN 3249 at 13:38, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3249 Southwest PIT 13:38 RSW 16:21 19% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:00 → DTW 07:13DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor 3h 09m Detroit DTW 10:22 → RSW 13:24DL 1055 7h 24m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:38 → ATL 09:25DL 1383 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 13:23 → RSW 15:10DL 1196 7h 32m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:02 → ORD 07:49UA 1803 3h 21m Chicago ORD 11:10 → RSW 15:18UA 2137 8h 16m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:37 → EWR 09:18UA 3513 · flown by Republic 2h 40m Newark EWR 11:58 → RSW 15:13UA 1810 7h 36m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:06 → ATL 12:52DL 1363 2h 07m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 5h 38m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 10m Houston IAH 09:28 → RSW 13:04UA 494 6h 49m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 26m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → PIT 16:55 → ATL 18:48DL 1353 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 7h 28m 100% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON