tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3292 Southwest PNS 12:35 STL 14:33 8% 3% 1.0% no record
WN 3051 Southwest PNS 18:16 STL 20:03 11% 5% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 12:42 → STL 13:30DL 1102 6h 30m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → STL 15:52DL 543 6h 30m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → PNS 13:54 → ATL 16:13DL 1640 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 19:09 → STL 19:58DL 2833 6h 04m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 17:10 → STL 17:53DL 1393 5h 56m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → PNS 17:35 → ATL 19:45DL 1013 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403 6h 18m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → PNS 07:00 → IAH 08:42UA 1823 3h 21m Houston IAH 12:03 → STL 14:29UA 2042 7h 29m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → PNS 05:22 → CLT 08:18AA 5548 · flown by PSA 3h 46m Charlotte CLT 12:04 → STL 12:51AA 3096 7h 29m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019 49m Atlanta ATL 09:04 → STL 09:43DL 1400 3h 43m 91% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON