tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4721 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSC 12:08 DEN 15:42 6% 3% 0.5% 89%
UA 480 United Flight history → PSC 04:59 DEN 08:22 6% 3% 0.6% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Pasco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645 1h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 10:15 → DEN 11:47DL 1553 4h 32m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → PSC 13:50 → SLC 16:34DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 3h 56m Salt Lake City SLC 20:30 → DEN 22:01DL 1667 7h 11m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → PSC 07:05 → MSP 12:01DL 2622 2h 26m Minneapolis MSP 14:27 → DEN 15:30DL 1025 7h 25m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → PSC 13:35 → SFO 15:44UA 5578 · flown by SkyWest 3h 12m San Francisco SFO 18:56 → DEN 22:44UA 2436 8h 09m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → PSC 15:36 → SEA 16:48DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Seattle SEA 19:59 → DEN 23:44DL 2851 7h 08m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → PSC 05:25 → SEA 06:36DL 3972 · flown by SkyWest 1h 34m Seattle SEA 08:10 → DEN 12:02DL 1358 5h 37m 89% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PSC 13:35 → SFO 15:44UA 5578 · flown by SkyWest 49m San Francisco SFO 16:33 → DEN 20:25UA 1835 5h 50m 70% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON