Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AS 3304 at 07:02, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AS 3304 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PSC 07:02	LAX 09:42	7%	5%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645	2h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	6h 12m	98%	89%
American Details →	PSC 05:00 → PHX 07:42AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest	2h 58m Phoenix	PHX 10:40 → LAX 12:12AA 2027	7h 12m	99%	89%
United Details →	PSC 04:59 → DEN 08:19UA 480	1h 43m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	6h 35m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	PSC 07:05 → MSP 12:01DL 2622	1h 04m Minneapolis	MSP 13:05 → LAX 14:48DL 2974	7h 43m	94%	88%
Delta Details →	PSC 17:21 → SLC 20:06DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197	6h 21m	100%	87%
United Details →	PSC 12:08 → DEN 15:42UA 4721 · flown by SkyWest	2h 03m Denver	DEN 17:45 → LAX 19:22UA 1753	7h 14m	97%	86%
United Details →	PSC 13:35 → SFO 15:44UA 5578 · flown by SkyWest	3h 07m San Francisco	SFO 18:51 → LAX 20:35UA 1799	7h 00m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	PSC 12:32 → SEA 13:50DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	3h 40m Seattle	SEA 17:30 → LAX 20:13DL 2861	7h 41m	99%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON