tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2112 Southwest PSP 06:01 LAS 07:07 4% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3053 Southwest PSP 11:04 LAS 12:05 10% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:05 → DEN 08:15UA 1010 3h 07m Denver DEN 11:22 → LAS 12:24UA 526 7h 19m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → PSP 08:58 → DEN 12:36UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Denver DEN 15:54 → LAS 16:57UA 2424 7h 59m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → PSP 07:26 → LAX 08:30UA 5542 · flown by SkyWest 2h 05m Los Angeles LAX 10:35 → LAS 12:05UA 1047 4h 39m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Salt Lake City SLC 11:35 → LAS 12:01DL 1659 5h 55m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → PSP 18:27 → SFO 20:10UA 5631 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m San Francisco SFO 21:15 → LAS 23:10UA 406 4h 43m 93% 85%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:29 → SFO 15:25UA 1430 2h 12m San Francisco SFO 17:37 → LAS 19:27UA 751 5h 58m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → PSP 06:45 → SFO 08:28UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest 2h 14m San Francisco SFO 10:42 → LAS 12:28UA 611 5h 43m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843 2h 22m Denver DEN 19:05 → LAS 20:08UA 655 6h 38m 97% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest 56m Seattle SEA 11:36 → LAS 13:56AS 612 6h 12m 72% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON