tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3370 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:16 PDX 09:48 7% 4% 0.6% 94%
AS 1323 Alaska PSP 14:05 PDX 16:42 9% 3% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 04m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:05 → DEN 08:19UA 1010 3h 08m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 8h 04m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PSP 17:15 → SLC 20:00DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 6h 29m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:02 → DEN 12:19UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 41m Denver DEN 16:00 → PDX 17:44UA 1337 8h 42m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:32 → SFO 15:17UA 1430 3h 54m San Francisco SFO 19:11 → PDX 21:13UA 1227 7h 41m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843 2h 47m Denver DEN 19:30 → PDX 21:15UA 498 7h 45m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → PSP 08:30 → SFO 10:18UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest 2h 18m San Francisco SFO 12:36 → PDX 14:31UA 2851 6h 01m 97% 82%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest 1h 36m Seattle SEA 12:16 → PDX 13:16AS 488 5h 32m 92% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON