Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 1197 at 05:45, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1197 JetBlue Flight history →	PVD 05:45	FLL 08:52	8%	2%	0.7%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PVD 05:35 → DTW 07:42DL 5226 · flown by Endeavor	2h 20m Detroit	DTW 10:02 → FLL 13:05DL 1378	7h 30m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:35DL 1023	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 20m	99%	89%
American Details →	PVD 07:16 → CLT 09:40AA 1585	1h 06m Charlotte	CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585	5h 54m	93%	83%
Delta Details →	PVD 13:27 → ATL 16:04DL 2147	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	8h 29m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	PVD 17:24 → ATL 20:14DL 2314	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	7h 15m	98%	81%
American Details →	PVD 08:34 → CLT 10:57AA 1569	1h 19m Charlotte	CLT 12:16 → FLL 14:19AA 1484	5h 45m	96%	80%
JetBlue Details →	PVD 06:00 → JFK 06:59B6 1129	1h 21m New York	JFK 08:20 → FLL 11:22B6 1601	5h 22m	95%	77%
Delta Details →	PVD 12:54 → DTW 14:55DL 3723 · flown by SkyWest	1h 01m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	6h 06m	90%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON