tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1515 Delta Flight history → PWM 06:00 ATL 08:45 8% 2% 0.6% 94%
DL 2479 Delta Flight history → PWM 13:55 ATL 16:46 12% 2% 0.6% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PWM 11:47 → MSP 13:49DL 1766 3h 29m Minneapolis MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036 9h 18m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PWM 06:32 → JFK 07:55DL 5277 · flown by Endeavor 3h 05m New York JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029 7h 01m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → PWM 05:28 → PHL 07:15AA 2951 3h 47m Philadelphia PHL 11:02 → ATL 13:29AA 3083 8h 01m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → PWM 16:52 → DTW 18:54DL 1821 2h 01m Detroit DTW 20:55 → ATL 23:09DL 2294 6h 17m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → PWM 12:40 → DTW 14:40DL 426 3h 29m Detroit DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053 7h 39m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 05:57 → DCA 08:03AA 2884 3h 01m Washington DCA 11:04 → ATL 13:18AA 4733 · flown by Republic 7h 21m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PWM 11:33 → LGA 13:02DL 5361 · flown by Endeavor 3h 58m New York LGA 17:00 → ATL 20:24DL 968 8h 51m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → PWM 05:18 → IAD 07:19UA 3522 · flown by Republic 56m Dulles IAD 08:15 → ATL 10:14UA 2739 4h 56m 97% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON