tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 3183 American PWM 06:59 CLT 09:31 6% 3% 0.6% no record
AA 1744 American PWM 13:31 CLT 15:53 12% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PWM 06:00 → ATL 08:45DL 1515 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 7h 31m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → PWM 10:56 → LGA 12:21AA 4571 · flown by Republic 2h 10m New York LGA 14:31 → CLT 16:53AA 2033 5h 57m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → PWM 07:30 → PHL 09:27AA 1536 2h 37m Philadelphia PHL 12:04 → CLT 13:34AA 1859 6h 04m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → PWM 10:31 → EWR 12:14UA 3405 · flown by Republic 2h 47m Newark EWR 15:01 → CLT 17:10UA 3533 · flown by Republic 6h 39m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 05:57 → DCA 08:03AA 2884 3h 55m Washington DCA 11:58 → CLT 13:31AA 761 7h 34m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 12:08 → DCA 14:02AA 5528 · flown by PSA 3h 48m Washington DCA 17:50 → CLT 19:37AA 2182 7h 29m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 10:56 → PHL 12:40AA 6124 · flown by Piedmont 3h 22m Philadelphia PHL 16:02 → CLT 17:29AA 3012 6h 33m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → PWM 13:55 → ATL 16:46DL 2479 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 18:54 → CLT 20:05DL 2132 6h 10m 99% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON