tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: QX 2128 at 07:09 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
QX 2128 Horizon RDM 07:09 SAN 09:09 15% 3% 1.2% no record
AS 2415 Alaska flown by Horizon Flight history → RDM 13:40 SAN 15:50 25% 3% 1.0% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 7h 03m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:55 → SFO 07:33UA 702 51m San Francisco SFO 08:24 → SAN 10:07UA 2260 4h 12m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:00 → DEN 08:28UA 1188 2h 47m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → SAN 18:06DL 1252 5h 51m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262 3h 25m San Francisco SFO 18:57 → SAN 20:40UA 1577 6h 51m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → RDM 05:30 → PHX 07:57AA 3773 · flown by Envoy 2h 51m Phoenix PHX 10:48 → SAN 12:23AA 2122 6h 53m 100% 81%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 05:16 → PDX 06:20AS 2043 · flown by Horizon 2h 43m Portland PDX 09:03 → SAN 11:36AS 721 6h 20m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:14 → DEN 16:42UA 2350 2h 38m Denver DEN 19:20 → SAN 20:46UA 540 7h 32m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON