tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 4532 American flown by Republic Flight history → RDU 08:00 PIT 09:25 5% 2% 0.6% 90%
YX 4440 Republic RDU 18:24 PIT 19:51 7% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDU 07:00 → BOS 09:02DL 1054 2h 43m Boston BOS 11:45 → PIT 13:41DL 5731 · flown by Republic 6h 41m 99% 93%
AmericanDetails → RDU 12:08 → JFK 13:59AA 4765 · flown by Republic 2h 39m New York JFK 16:38 → PIT 18:20AA 4734 · flown by Republic 6h 12m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → RDU 06:20 → ATL 07:46DL 1192 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345 6h 32m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 09:58 → ATL 11:22DL 2634 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 5h 52m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 05:10 → ATL 06:28DL 1552 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → PIT 10:45DL 1363 5h 35m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 18:25 → ATL 20:00DL 2600 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351 6h 25m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RDU 11:15 → ATL 12:42DL 1699 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568 5h 53m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → RDU 10:00 → JFK 11:40DL 5294 · flown by Endeavor 3h 30m New York JFK 15:10 → PIT 17:15DL 5685 · flown by Republic 7h 15m 97% 90%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → RDU 17:05 → LGA 18:52DL 5180 · flown by Endeavor 2h 28m New York LGA 21:20 → PIT 23:09DL 5722 · flown by Republic 6h 04m 70% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON