Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, B6 1145 at 08:10, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1145 JetBlue Flight history →	RIC 08:10	FLL 10:34	9%	3%	0.8%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	RIC 06:30 → CLT 07:54AA 1063	2h 52m Charlotte	CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585	6h 40m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	RIC 05:45 → ATL 07:18DL 1460	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 38m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	RIC 06:55 → ATL 08:37DL 1402	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	7h 32m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	RIC 05:56 → LGA 07:21DL 5822 · flown by Republic	3h 34m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 58m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	RIC 10:19 → ATL 11:58DL 1462	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	5h 22m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	RIC 08:00 → ATL 09:42DL 1415	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	5h 20m	95%	85%
United Details →	RIC 06:50 → EWR 08:16UA 4604 · flown by GoJet	3h 37m Newark	EWR 11:53 → FLL 15:14UA 2759	8h 24m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	RIC 07:00 → JFK 08:30DL 4660 · flown by Endeavor	2h 44m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 24m	95%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON