Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3372 at 07:45, with a 3% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3372 Southwest	RNO 07:45	LGB 09:11	3%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Long Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RNO 05:30 → SLC 07:52DL 1650	3h 13m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:05 → LGB 11:59DL 1116	6h 29m	99%	89%
Alaska Details →	RNO 14:46 → SEA 16:43AS 601	1h 52m Seattle	SEA 18:35 → LGB 21:14AS 428	6h 28m	95%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON