tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1485 Delta RSW 11:44 CVG 14:07 9% 4% 1.9% no record
DL 1630 Delta RSW 12:39 CVG 15:13 12% 5% 2.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149 5h 43m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169 7h 08m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 50m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:57 → EWR 11:47UA 2477 2h 12m Newark EWR 13:59 → CVG 16:12UA 3455 · flown by Republic 7h 15m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 53m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:38 → BOS 13:39DL 2474 2h 19m Boston BOS 15:58 → CVG 18:12DL 2889 7h 34m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 6h 09m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → RSW 14:32 → MSP 17:04DL 2400 3h 16m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469 8h 39m 96% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON