tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:35, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1378 United RSW 08:02 DEN 10:30 6% 2% 0.8% no record
UA 778 United RSW 16:01 DEN 18:01 18% 4% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Fort Myers). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:44 → ORD 10:57UA 2347 3h 36m Chicago ORD 14:33 → DEN 16:31UA 2803 9h 47m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 57m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 6h 20m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 1h 04m Atlanta ATL 08:23 → DEN 09:31DL 346 5h 56m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → RSW 12:28 → ORD 14:53UA 2494 3h 24m Chicago ORD 18:17 → DEN 20:22UA 1974 9h 54m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → RSW 11:59 → IAD 14:30UA 2054 3h 11m Dulles IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 9h 46m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 10m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → RSW 12:24 → JFK 15:30DL 2320 2h 04m New York JFK 17:34 → DEN 19:42DL 424 9h 18m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON