Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2001 Delta	RSW 12:22	DTW 15:11	8%	3%	1.3%	no record
DL 2559 Delta Flight history →	RSW 17:49	DTW 20:45	16%	7%	1.3%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	RSW 08:44 → EWR 11:38UA 2477	2h 29m Newark	EWR 14:07 → DTW 16:07UA 3437 · flown by Republic	7h 23m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 11m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	7h 39m	99%	89%
American Details →	RSW 06:00 → ORD 08:26AA 2613	1h 16m Chicago	ORD 09:42 → DTW 12:09AA 3977 · flown by Envoy	6h 09m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	6h 57m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:27DL 1005	6h 39m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	59m Atlanta	ATL 08:18 → DTW 10:17DL 643	4h 42m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	RSW 14:25 → LGA 17:13DL 379	3h 17m New York	LGA 20:30 → DTW 22:51DL 1014	8h 26m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON