tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2606 United RSW 07:00 IAH 08:53 6% 3% 1.2% no record
UA 1743 United RSW 14:04 IAH 15:54 12% 5% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:45 → ORD 11:00UA 2347 1h 40m Chicago ORD 12:40 → IAH 15:40UA 1448 7h 55m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 12:18 → IAH 13:29DL 2709 7h 44m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → RSW 11:59 → IAD 14:30UA 2054 3h 29m Dulles IAD 17:59 → IAH 20:25UA 2217 9h 26m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 18:25 → IAH 19:28DL 2327 7h 12m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 39m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 14:48 → IAH 16:00DL 1874 6h 12m 97% 82%
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:58 → EWR 11:49UA 2477 1h 59m Newark EWR 13:48 → IAH 16:34UA 1830 8h 36m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → RSW 06:01 → DFW 08:05AA 1281 1h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:57 → IAH 11:17AA 2438 6h 16m 98% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON