tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2400 Delta Flight history → RSW 14:32 MSP 17:04 12% 5% 1.2% 77%
DL 2219 Delta Flight history → RSW 18:38 MSP 21:15 16% 6% 1.6% 93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090 5h 45m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 1h 25m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 5h 43m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 6h 47m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → RSW 12:24 → JFK 15:30DL 2320 2h 29m New York JFK 17:59 → MSP 19:45DL 2245 8h 21m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 18:48 → MSP 20:22DL 2654 8h 06m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825 6h 18m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → RSW 13:54 → ORD 16:09UA 2472 3h 48m Chicago ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005 8h 47m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 20:13 → MSP 21:50DL 9979 7h 09m 97% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON