Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:36 am at Fort Myers)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, WN 2917 at 09:38, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 2917 Southwest	RSW 09:38	PIT 12:13	6%	1%	0.4%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:40 → PIT 12:25DL 1345	5h 40m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 08:22 → PIT 10:07DL 1363	4h 32m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 12:36 → PIT 14:21DL 2275	6h 18m	99%	91%
United Details →	RSW 08:45 → ORD 11:02UA 2347	1h 38m Chicago	ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic	6h 38m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	RSW 17:49 → DTW 20:45DL 2559	2h 08m Detroit	DTW 22:53 → PIT 00:04 +1DL 5369 · flown by Endeavor	6h 15m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 14:26 → PIT 16:14DL 1568	5h 26m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:36 → BOS 13:39DL 2474	2h 36m Boston	BOS 16:15 → PIT 18:23DL 5680 · flown by Republic	7h 47m	100%	88%
American Details →	RSW 06:02 → ORD 08:28AA 2613	1h 22m Chicago	ORD 09:50 → PIT 12:27AA 4467 · flown by Republic	6h 25m	96%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON