tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: WN 3698 at 08:50 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 21%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3698 Southwest SAN 08:50 ABQ 11:40 8% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 1424 Southwest SAN 18:02 ABQ 20:46 21% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:54 → LAX 12:11DL 3716 · flown by SkyWest 2h 49m Los Angeles LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 3h 23m San Francisco SFO 18:42 → ABQ 22:26UA 5289 · flown by SkyWest 7h 47m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 1h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 4h 57m 91% 86%
UnitedDetails → SAN 16:07 → DEN 19:39UA 682 1h 31m Denver DEN 21:10 → ABQ 22:54UA 5880 · flown by SkyWest 5h 47m 93% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 40m Denver DEN 13:57 → ABQ 15:25UA 1594 5h 40m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 3h 00m Houston IAH 20:25 → ABQ 21:44UA 1381 8h 46m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:21 → ABQ 15:19AA 3053 7h 59m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → SAN 12:20 → DFW 17:40AA 1467 2h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:16 → ABQ 21:36AA 2698 8h 16m 97% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON